^ more probable
2.75: Noel in a new band (some days ago in an Italian interview he said he wants this)
3.00: end of Oasis
5.00: fighting between Noel&Liam mwahahaha at last concert, August 30th in Milan, Liam is gonna lose as usual
6.00: Noel going solo
6.00: Oasis go on without the Chief, Noel
14.00: cinema career for Noel (probably he'll be in Coronation Street from Manchester :)
100.00: Noel joining Blur
V less probable